| 摘要: |
| 导出了热带气旋范围内中心气压与风场、环境气压场之间的关系式。该关系式与热带气旋中心强度预报方法结合,用数值解的方法可以预报热带气旋中各级风圈半径。也可以结合热带气旋中心的路径预报,作沿海局地各时次的风力预报。业务试用表明,本方法具有较好的使用价值。 |
| 关键词: 热带气旋 大风圈 预报 |
| DOI： |
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| THE FORECAST OF WIND CIRCLES IN TROPICAL CYCLONE |
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Niu Xuexin, Zhu Chize
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The Meteorological Service of Zhejian Province, Hangzhou, 310021
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| Abstract: |
| In this paper, the relationship between the central pressure,wind field of a tropical cyclone and environmental pressure has been obtained. The relationship with central intensity forecasting can predict wind circles in tropical cyclone by numerical solution. And the relationship with track forecasting of cyclone centre can predict local wind. The operational application has shown that the forecast model is of some practical value. |
| Key words: Tropical cyclone Wind circle Forecast |
